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SAM
T. HARPER Lessons on How To Defeat an Incumbent Southern Democrat (Part One) November 15, 2002 |
From the rightturns.com archives (10/1/02 edition; my article "Throw the Democrats Out! Tennessee's
Tax Revolution - Part Three"; see archives for the complete article):
"One year ago, I sat in our kitchen after reading the
Sunday newspapers and realized that the local state
representative position, long a Democrat stronghold, was winnable
for the GOP. Why? The state democrats were no longer conservative.
I then began searching for the local GOPer who was planning to
run for the local state representative position to offer my
analysis and support.
I found him: Judd Matheny. I did not know Judd at the time. I
arranged for him and me to meet and discuss his campaign. Within
the first few minutes of our meeting, I realized Judd was real:
an energetic, focused, practicing, walking and talking
conservative. (See www.juddmatheny.com for his background details.) I
volunteered to be his campaign manager and he accepted."
I proudly report:
JUDD WON! JUDD WON! JUDD WON! JUDD WON!
This is a Tennessee State Representative seat that has never been
in Republican hands! The incumbent was considered a "safe
seat".
The incumbent raised over $125,000!
And spent it all!
The Tennessee Speaker of the House (a Democrat, of course)
pressured/threatened local officials to publicly endorse the
incumbent.
The local newspapers virtually ignored Judd's campaign.
Only two incumbent Democrats were beaten in the 99 house seat
races on 11/5/02.
So, facing these odds, how the heck did we do it?
The simple, truthful answer is by sticking to conservative
principles and executing a campaign of relentless pressure on the
incumbent.
Let's look at how we did it. Bear with me because I am first
going to describe the technical steps in the campaign. Believe
me, the tale will grow more exciting.
Our plan, devised one year before the election, was
straightforward:
1. Build name recognition
2. Learn how state government works
3. Track the incumbent's voting, statements, and fund raising
4. Analyze the 24 precincts in the district for the last two
election patterns.
Build name recognition:
State representative districts in Tennessee have about 35,000
registered voters. Our goal was for Judd to meet as many of these
voters as possible. Today's voters feel out of touch with elected
officials. Our incumbent, especially, had built a reputation of
not returning phone calls and feeling confident in his incumbency.
Judd began a relentless schedule of going to local community
events. We watched the local newspapers for when and where these
events would occur. He handed political "business cards"
that described his background; his key principles ("No state
Income Tax"; "stop the cycle of fiscal mismanagement");
and how to contact him (mail; email; phone number; fax number).
In addition, about six months before the election, Judd put up
over 100 hard (made of plywood) road signs at key intersections
throughout the district. These were not expensive, fancy signs;
they were made in his backyard using primary colors, weatherproof
paint, and stencils. The signs were simple in message: "Judd
Matheny" "State Representative". The effect of
this early effort was two fold: it brought out volunteers who
were emotionally ready to fight for a change in the district (most
of these volunteers became dedicated campaign warriors all the
way through the victory election night) and it gave daily
exposure of Judd's name to voters as they came and went in their
activities.
Learn how state government works:
Paralleling the above, one year ago Judd began setting
appointments to meet with the state commissioners and department
heads of education, information technology, safety, etc. (BTW,
for all you future candidates, it is not difficult to set these
appointments; remember, they are public employees) He asked them
what problems they were facing, the future problems they were
facing, and what were some solutions they were seeking. These
meetings gave Judd the language used by state employees and the
issues facing them. In addition, Judd met with incumbent
Republican representatives to pick their brains. These steps are
very important when running against an incumbent. Incumbents
represent to voters a level of comfort; a known quantity.
Incumbents emphasize this by typically referring to their
opponents as out of the loop, not knowing what is really going
on; and referring to themselves as the expert ("When I was
talking with the Speaker the other day, he asked me
").
We knew that from these meetings, Judd could talk with voters
with an "inside knowledge" tone just like the incumbent.
A VERY IMPORTANT POINT.
In the next column, I will lay out how we did
Step 3 Track the incumbent's voting, statements, and fund
raising;
Step 4 Analyze the 24 precincts in the district for the last two
election patterns.
And begin detailing the stages of the battle.
Sam T. Harper graduated cum laude from Vanderbilt University. Following a tour in the US Navy and a stint as Operations Manager at Roadway Express, he earned his MBA from Stanford University Graduate School of Business. He was a contributor to In Search of Excellence, the best selling business book of all time. Sam was also Manager, Economic Planning & Analysis at Sohio Petroleum, Partner and Chief Financial Officer at investment-banking firm Bridgemere Capital, and Chief Operating Officer of the Institute for Contemporary Studies, a San Francisco Bay Area-based think tank and international publishing firm that specializes in self-governing and entrepreneurial public policy. Sam was a chairman of the San Francisco Republican party and the GOP co-host of California Political Review on KALW-FM in San Francisco. Sam is currently the co-owner of the Tennessee based Institute for Local Effectiveness Training, LLC a management consulting, training, and coaching firm.